RU POV: Russian and Ukrainian advances from Day 1072 to 1075 of the War - Suriyakmaps
This is the second bulk post covering the time Suriyak was away, and with it we are now back up to date with the various advances by both sides.
The January statistics post will be going out sometime after this one is uploaded.
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Pictures 1 and 5 are from Day 1072 (Thursday 30 January), pictures 6 to 11 are from Day 1073 (Friday 31 January), picture 12 is from Day 1074 (Saturday 01 February), and pictures 13 to 18 are from Day 1075 (Sunday 02 February).
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A reminder that these maps are confirming updates from previous days (i.e. 12 to 48 hours delayed from each day).
Live map can be found here.
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Picture 1: Advance = 1.63km2
Starting this update post off on the Siversk front, where for the first time in almost a month there has been some movement. Russia launched a small mechanised assault on Verkhnokamyanske, entering the village for the first time in several months and taking over the eastern side. Much like all the other movement on this front, don’t expect there to be multiple changes in this settlement/area over the next week, as this is most likely a one-off attack that might be followed up later down the line.
Picture 2: Middle Advance = 1.22km2, Lower Middle Advance = 0.21km2, Bottom Right Advance = 0.44km2, Very Bottom Advance = 1.04km2
Heading to Chasiv Yar, where we are seeing increasing amounts of activity and movement by both sides. Starting with the centre of the town, Ukraine is reportedly beginning to pull its remaining garrison out from the apartment buildings, due to the threat of being encircled against the small lake. At the same time, Russia has begun pushing into the western suburbs (east of Mykolaivka), but the initial assault was knocked back.
A little further south, a different Russian assault group expanded on the Russian spearhead to the west, capturing more of the fields and forest are on the south side of Chasiv Yar. Russia is now in a position to start assaulting the western and northern suburbs of the town, and will likely do so in the coming days as they try to force Ukraine out and wrap up the battle. For their part, Ukraine is constantly counterattacking all across this part of the front, stalling Russia in some areas and stopping them in others.
Even further south, Russia made a small advance in the forest next to the canal, whilst Ukraine was confirmed to have partially retaken some of the area north of the small mine over the past few days. This area around the Pivdenno-Skhidnyi Mine has been a constant back and forth for months, with this being the fourth time Ukraine has retaken this particular area.
Picture 3: Advance = 0.87km2
On the Toretsk front, in Scherbynivka, Russian assault groups have made further progress in capturing the town, having come out on top in the past few weeks of clashes, taking control of most of the central area, as well as the first streets on the east side. The area east of this advance is mostly greyzone, and Ukraine likely does not have any troops in the few treelines south of the slag heap (been abandoned for at least 2 weeks due to inability to access this area). Its mostly just a case of waiting for Russia to enter and clear this area themselves.
Picture 4: Top Advance = 0.95km2, Bottom Advance = 0.13km2
Heading to the Pokrovsk front, to the north, Ukraine counterattacked to the west of Kotlyne, retaking one of the fields and the mine ventilation shaft buildings. Theres been some back and forth clashes in this area for days now, as Ukraine tries to keep Russia away from the Pokrovske Coal Mine, and Russia tries to reach it to flank Udachne.
To the south, in Nadiivka, Russia captured the last of the buildings on the south side of the village, leaving only the 1 street and a couple of warehouses on the north side before they have full control of the settlement. Some Russian sources claim they control this area already, although a lack of evidence of Russian presence, as well as a video of a Ukrainian tank travelling through there to conduct a (failed) fire mission would indicate its likely still under Ukrainian control for the moment.
Picture 5: Top Advance = 1.21km2, Middle Left Advance = 0.44km2, Middle Advance = 0.37km2
On the Kurakhove front, on the north side, Russia renewed its push into Andriivka from Shevchenko, retaking some of the fields they lost 2 weeks ago, reaching the large Ukrainian trench network on the east side. If Russia can take this trench network, they’ll be able to take control of eastern Andriivka and can push the fighting towards the centre of the town.
To the southwest, following on from the previous post, Russia continues to close in on Kostyantynopil, taking part of another field and part of some treelines only 600m south of the settlement. Ukraine has pulled its troops back into Kostyantynopil to defend, leaving just that open area for Russia to dart across before they can start the battle for the town. As mentioned in the last post, once the battle for Kostyantynopil begins, Ukraine will need to evacuate all its units from the Kurakhove pocket or be encircled. For now though, Ukraine has prevented Russia from reaching the town.
To the east, Russia made a small advance north of the Sukhi Yaly River, clearing more of the fields as the gradually close the pocket.
Picture 6: Advance = 6.69km2
On the Kupyansk front, following the capture of Dvorichna 2 days prior, Russia began to push out northeast, forcing Ukraine to abandon the area along the Oskil River as they were pinched from multiple sides. Russian troops captured a large area of fields, forest and hills next to the Oskil River, including the village of Novomlynsk (previous had a foothold there back in late November, but were driven out days later).
Ukraine still hasn’t reinforced this area, with its limited forces being pushed back and struck, allowing Russia to expand its control each day. I’ll go into this further in a comment below, but the main question now is which direction Russia intends to advance in, as both main options have the pros and cons.
Picture 7: Advance = 0.36km2
Following on from picture 2, Russia made another advance south of Chasiv Yar, recapturing some of the forest area north of the Pivdenno-Skhidnyi Mine (off map south). Russian pressure on this south side continues to increase, although its too early to say that they have ‘cracked’ the Ukrainian defence in this area.
Picture 8: Advance = 2.92km2
Following on from picture 3, Russia did indeed move into the area between Toretsk and Scherbynivka, clearing out the remaining fields, treelines and the last slag heap. With this, Russian pressure on Scherbynivka will increase, as Russian forces in Toretsk can start supporting their existing assault groups, and launch attacks from the east side.
Picture 9: Advance = 0.23km2
Back to the Pokrovsk front, this time in Uspenivka. Russian assault groups made slightly more progress, taking over a few more houses on the southeast side of the village. The back and forth will continue for a little while longer it seems, as neither side has been able to come out on top in the centre of the village just yet.
Picture 10: Advance = 0.70km2
Following on from picture 5, Russia made another advance on the south side of the Kurakhove pocket, clearing more of the treelines as they gradually head north.
Picture 11: Advance = 2.38km2
On the Velyka Novosilka front, Russian forces made a small advance out of Rozdolne, taking over a few fields and a dense trench network next to the road. This trench network has been mostly abandoned since Russia took Rozdolne, although they didn’t get around to clearing it until now as Russia was focused on capturing Velyka Novosilka.
This may be the first stages of Russia restarting offensive operation after their break following the capture of Velyka Novosilka, or it might just be an opportunistic advance done by 1 unit into an easy to reach area.
Picture 12: Upper Left Advance = 0.72km2, Middle Advance = 0.19km2, Bottom Advance = 2.15km2
Following on from picture 5, on the north side, Russia made another advance around Andriivka, capturing some of the fields and part of the northern road.
To the southeast, Russia continued its assault in Dachne, now in control of about 40% of the town after seizing more of the central area. Ukraine still holds positions on the west side with the support of numerous drone teams, but its only a matter of time before they are driven out by the Russian assault groups.
To the south, same as with picture 5 and 10, Russia has continued clearing the fields on the south side of the pocket, taking a few more of them.
Picture 13: Advance = 6.15km2
Over on the Kupyansk front again, this time the south side of Russia’s bridgehead over the Oskil River. Over the past few days Russia has ventured out from its southern flank along the top of a ridge, heading downhill to take over a large area of fields, and a few treelines around Kalynove. Whilst it is marked on the map, that is actually a long abandoned settlement that no longer has any buildings left standing, so theres not actually anything to capture or occupy there.
Russia will likely continue to push south in this area, moving into the small forest areas next, and also possibly angling towards Kindrashivka (slightly off map southwest of this advance).
Picture 14: Advance = 2.72km2
On the Oskil River front, Russian troops closed in further on Kolodyazi, taking over multiple fields, treelines and a couple of trench networks. They are currently only about 800m from the first buildings of the village, although the small stream that runs through the area might make the initial assault more difficult. As I mentioned a few weeks back, Russia needs Kolodyazi for a forward base to continue expanding their bridgehead on the west side of the Zherebets River, as they currently only have Ivanivka (which is mostly destroyed).
Picture 15: Advance = 2.15km2
Onto the Siversk front again, this time the eastern edge, as activity by both sides has ramped up over the last couple of days. Ukraine launched an attack towards the chalk quarry (mostly grey zone since mid-2024) and the ruins of Bilohorivka, looking to recapture the positions they lost almost a year ago. No results of these attacks can be confirmed yet, with both Russian and Ukrainian channels mostly silent.
At the same time, Russia was also pushing in, clearing out some dugouts and fields as they moved towards the small forested area west of the chalk quarry. Theres unlikely to be any encirclement or breakthrough here, as the front simply moves too slowly for that, but we could be seeing the start of this front becoming active for the first time in a while (not certain).
Picture 16: Advance = 1.19km2
In an area I’m now going to start calling the far eastern side of the Pokrovsk front (as we’ve moved well past the Ocheretyne front at this point), Russia continued to advance around the highway, moving into and capturing the village of Vodyane Druhe. The settlement itself is rather unremarkable, but the nearby trench networks and small forest areas are important for Russia to capture if it wants to continue its push to the north.
Picture 17: Advance = 2.97km2
On the Pokrovsk front, Russian assault groups were confirmed to have gained a foothold following their assaults beginning 2 days prior, taking over half of Sribne. The northern side of the settlement remains under Ukrainian control, however they will likely abandon it soon to pull back to Zaporizhzhya (connected to Sribne on the west side), in order to avoid being cut off if Russia pushes west. Russia will begin attacking Zaporizhzhya within the next day or 2, before they’ve finalised the capture of Sribne, as its literally next door and they’ll need to head that way to chase the Ukrainian garrison out of the area.
At this point, Russia is only about 8km away from Dnipro Oblast in this area, with only 5 small, poorly defending villages in the way. They’ll still take their time to capture each of them as they move west, as theres no point wasting manpower and equipment just to reach Dnipro a little earlier.
Picture 18: Advance = 0.33km2
Following on from picture 12, Russia continued pressing the attack in Dachne, taking over more of the central area of the town. They currently control about 70% of it, with some reports coming out that Ukraine is beginning to abandon their last positions in the settlement and pulling back to Ulakly. The battle should be wrapped up, with the remaining buildings cleared, by the end of the week.
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Total Russian Advance (Gross) = 38.37km2
Total Ukrainian Advance (Gross) = 1.99km2
For those that asked, Advances excluding Kursk:
Total Russian Advance (Gross) = 38.37km2
Total Ukrainian Advance (Gross) = 1.99km2
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Additional Comments:
· Ukraine’s control of Kursk currently sits at 437.50km2. Ukraine’s maximum control in Kursk was approximately 930km2, short of their initial claim of 1000km2, and well below their revised claim of 1300km2.
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